Meterologists are now closely monitoring several tropical waves emerging off the western coast of Africa, and one in particular which shows a significant chance of development. This disturbance, currently a disorganised cluster of thunderstorms near Guinea-Bissau, is moving westward at approximately 15 mph. Earlier Monday, the US-based National Hurricane Center (NHC) assigned a 40% chance of development into a tropical depression or storm within the next seven days. Should this occur, this system will become Tropical Storm Gabrielle.
Environmental conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development as the system moves across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic, however, challenges such as wind shear and dry air may influence its progression .
Given the system’s current trajectory and the time needed for potential development, it is possible that the system could reach the North Eastern Caribbean region by mid to late next week. While it is too early to determine the exact path and intensity, residents are advised to remain vigilant and prepared.
Forecasts indicate that the system may continue its westward movement, with a possibility of turning northward before approaching the Caribbean, however, the uncertainty in its development and path underscores the importance of ongoing monitoring .
The Atlantic hurricane season is currently at its peak, with increased activity expected in the coming weeks.
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