A developing tropical system in the Atlantic is being closely monitored as it tracks toward the northeastern Caribbean, with meteorologists warning of potential heavy rainfall, rough seas, and gusty winds later this week. The system, described as a strong tropical wave, remains disorganised but could strengthen as it moves over warmer waters in the coming days.
According to meteorological updates, the tropical wave is currently encountering dry air and wind shear, both of which have slowed its development. Forecasters caution, however, that once the system clears these unfavourable conditions, it could quickly intensify as it nears the northeastern Caribbean, including St. Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, and the Virgin Islands.
While models differ on the storm’s exact track and intensity, most show the system passing close to or north of the Leeward Islands by Thursday or Friday. The European model suggests minimal development, while the American and Canadian models indicate the possibility of a tropical storm or even a Category 1 hurricane forming as it approaches the region.
Meteorologists emphasise that even if the system remains weak, residents should prepare for increased rainfall, choppy seas, and the risk of localised flooding. St. Kitts and Nevis and surrounding territories are currently being advised to monitor the system’s progress and no advisories have been issued as there is no immediate threat.
By midweek, rain chances are expected to rise across the northeastern Caribbean, with scattered showers likely across St. Kitts and Nevis and neighbouring islands. Seas in the Atlantic passages are forecast to become rough and hazardous, making small craft advisories possible later this week.
Authorities are urging residents to stay informed through official weather bulletins and to avoid speculation as forecasters continue to assess whether the system will curve northward away from the islands or make a closer approach.
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